2026 WR RANKINGS · MODEL v2.1

Wide Receiver rankings that price role, range, and replacement value.

Target volume, catch production, current role, age, scoring stability, and touchdown regression shape the receiver projections.

FREE TOP 12

2026 WR rankings

Full-PPR median projection · Updated weekly
WR RKPLAYEROVRLEVELPROJ.RANGECONF.
WR1Puka NacuaLA · 16.6 expected games#2LEVEL 137331343290%
WR2Ja'Marr ChaseCIN · 16.9 expected games#4LEVEL 133928539390%
WR3Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · 17 expected games#8LEVEL 232127137191%
WR4Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · 17 expected games#9LEVEL 231626836492%
WR5CeeDee LambDAL · 16.4 expected games#12LEVEL 327122631788%
WR6Rashee RiceKC · 15.4 expected games#15LEVEL 326420931978%
WR7Drake LondonATL · 16.4 expected games#17LEVEL 326021130983%
WR8Nico CollinsHOU · 16.5 expected games#18LEVEL 325821829891%
WR9Chris OlaveNO · 16.5 expected games#22LEVEL 425021128991%
WR10A.J. BrownNE · 16.6 expected games#23LEVEL 424720628988%
WR11Justin JeffersonMIN · 16.9 expected games#26LEVEL 424220527892%
WR12Zay FlowersBAL · 17 expected games#27LEVEL 424020327692%
HOW TO USE THIS LIST

Draft the tier break—not only the next name.

Use tiers to balance reliable target volume with asymmetric breakout potential throughout the middle rounds.

WHAT THE NUMBER MEANS

Projection and draft value are separate.

The median estimates scoring. Lineup Level, confidence, projection range, and value over replacement describe how and when that production should be drafted.

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Independent projections based on nflverse / FTN Data under CC BY-SA 4.0. Rankings are estimates, not guarantees, and are not affiliated with the NFL or ESPN.