Draft the tier break—not only the next name.
In one-QB leagues, compare the elite ceiling against a deep replacement pool before spending early draft capital.
Quarterback rankings that price role, range, and replacement value.
Passing volume, rushing production, offensive environment, availability, and touchdown regression drive the quarterback model.
FREE TOP 12
Full-PPR median projection · Updated weekly2026 QB rankings
QB RKPLAYEROVRLEVELPROJ.RANGECONF.
QB1Josh AllenBUF · 16.8 expected games#19LEVEL 3364306–42290%
QB2Drake MayeNE · 16.8 expected games#49LEVEL 5314265–36391%
QB3Patrick MahomesKC · 16.6 expected games#51LEVEL 5312260–36588%
QB4Jalen HurtsPHI · 16.8 expected games#55LEVEL 5308260–35691%
QB5Caleb WilliamsCHI · 17 expected games#64LEVEL 6302252–35189%
QB6Trevor LawrenceJAX · 16.7 expected games#65LEVEL 6302256–34892%
QB7Bo NixDEN · 17 expected games#66LEVEL 6302252–35189%
QB8Lamar JacksonBAL · 16.5 expected games#71LEVEL 6300247–35386%
QB9Justin HerbertLAC · 16.8 expected games#78LEVEL 6293248–33991%
QB10Brock PurdySF · 15.9 expected games#82LEVEL 6291232–35179%
QB11Jared GoffDET · 17 expected games#83LEVEL 6289245–33392%
QB12Baker MayfieldTB · 17 expected games#84LEVEL 6285242–32992%
Projection and draft value are separate.
The median estimates scoring. Lineup Level, confidence, projection range, and value over replacement describe how and when that production should be drafted.
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Independent projections based on nflverse / FTN Data under CC BY-SA 4.0. Rankings are estimates, not guarantees, and are not affiliated with the NFL or ESPN.